The featured report, prepared by GMO’s Emerging Country Debt team, offers a Q1 2025 valuation update on emerging market debt and a scenario analysis of tariff impacts.
Hard Currency Debt: Credit spreads are assessed as neutral+, with moderate risk of widening under stress scenarios driven by tariff-related shocks.
Local Currency Debt: Both EMFX and local interest rates are rated very attractive, with potential for strong returns relative to U.S. assets.
Tariff Impact: Stress tests reveal heightened vulnerability among certain sovereign issuers, yet local debt valuations remain resilient.
Dive into the full report for a detailed breakdown of valuation metrics, scenario analysis, and strategic positioning insights.