Pictet Asset Management analyzes how the war in Iran could influence global markets under several geopolitical scenarios.
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Oil and gas prices have surged following the conflict, unsettling equity markets and increasing fears of an energy-driven inflation shock.
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Despite volatility, the base case assumes limited long-term economic damage because global energy supply buffers remain stronger than in past crises.
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Investors are shifting portfolios defensively—raising allocations to cash, gold and safe-haven currencies while reducing exposure to riskier assets.
The report outlines multiple geopolitical scenarios to help investors assess how escalating or contained conflict could reshape markets.
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