AI Capital Spending Anchors a Constructive but Selective 2026 Outlook

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The featured report, authored by State Street Investment Management’s global investment and macro strategy team, assesses the 2026 market environment across asset classes amid easing policy and persistent geopolitical risk. 

  • Global growth is expected to continue, supported by fiscal stimulus, easing monetary policy, and sustained AI investment, despite lingering trade and geopolitical uncertainty.

  • Equities remain underpinned by AI-driven earnings and capex, though elevated valuations argue for selectivity and risk discipline.

  • Fixed income favors sovereigns over credit, while alternatives play a larger role in income generation and diversification.

The full report expands on these dynamics, offering deeper regional, sectoral, and portfolio-level implications for 2026.

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