Central Banks Diverge as Fed Prepares to Ease, ECB Holds, and BoJ Turns Hawkish

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Robeco’s Central Bank Watcher (September 2025), by Martin van Vliet, Rikkert Scholten, and Phil McNicholas, analyzes global monetary policy dynamics across major economies.

  • The Fed is expected to cut 100 bps by spring 2026, but inflation risks and political pressure limit aggressive easing.

  • The ECB signaled a prolonged pause, with cuts unlikely unless new shocks emerge, while balance sheet reduction continues.

  • The BoJ faces persistent services inflation, likely bringing forward its next hike, while the PBoC maintains a cautious easing stance.

How should investors position amid diverging central bank paths? Explore the full report for tactical implications.

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